Friday, January 4, 2008

The upside to downside

The Man:

If you think about it, a down stock market is a good thing. A recession is also good once in a while. As prices fall, the amount of liquidity and money flow into companies dries up. This forces companies to "cut the fat" in their operations, and provides the motivation for improved efficiency both in the marketplace as a whole and within an individual organization. Without downside, the forest of companies will grow too inefficient, and there will be a lot of dead wood around. With this inefficient environment, all that's needed is a small spark, and the entire forest could burn down. Better to have smaller fires that clear the brush and provide the nutrients necessary for future growth than to have one big dead forest ready to make a bunch of ash.

How about yourself? Maybe this writer's strike-imposed fast from media has been good for all of us? It gives us a chance to cut the fat and prepare for when opportunity is more abundant!

More later.

Daily Report

The Machine:

Summary Version 8.3
Date: 2008-01-04 Time: 03:00
SAY: WAIT
CY: WAIT
This information does not constitute
financial advice of any kind.
Have a nice day!

Thursday, January 3, 2008

Recession worries in the air


The Man:

Nothing beats google in terms of tracking trends. As you can see above, no one started writing about the word recession until early 2007. By mid 2007 we have had a spike in news articles. Given the old addage of buy on rumor, sell on news, the peak of the recession news will be when the recession is almost over. Let's hope that the news articles come to a fever pitch sooner rather than later. It will be interesting to look at this sometime in 2009 to see how the trends compare.

More later.

Knee Jerk Reaction

The Man:
I am particularly proud of Version 8.3, not only because it is technically better at predicting stock prices, but it is more reliable. It is also the first version with prioritized objectives.

The U.S. Economy is still the model economy of the 21st century. Given the sheer size and power of this engine, few things can really make a large difference in changing group behavior, and yet, you have to hand it to the federal government for really navigating the waters with their only real rudder in the economic ocean - the control of money flow.

I think once the economic historians get their hands on this era of time, they will lump it into problem eras of times past. But if you think about it, the U.S. Consumer and the companies behind it has enabled the growth and increase of standard of living for a great multitude of people around the world.

We have endured two consecutive economic shocks - the tech "bubble" and 911 -where either event in earlier times would have decimated the U.S. Economy. This does not mean decimated U.S. STOCKS... No. It would have meant you and I could not work and put food on the table. I for one am very happy that I lost money in the stock market over the very real possibility of not being able to work.

more later.

Version 8.3 released!!!

The Man:

As promised, albeit it a little late, version 8.3 has been released!

More later.

Daily Report

The Machine:

Summary Version 8.3
Date: 2008-01-03 Time: 03:00
SAY: WAIT
CY: WAIT
This information does not constitute
financial advice of any kind.
Have a nice day!

Wednesday, January 2, 2008

We are in Recession


The Man:

Perhaps the strongest indicator of the state of the economy are what happens on main street - or in this case, Orange Grove in Pasadena on Jan 1st. I'm talking about the Rose Parade. This year's rose parade seemed a little shorter this year than the last (despite the three broken down floats that had to be towed home), and there were very few floats with pyrotechnics included (Honda's float was probably the most memorable as it changed from a car into a space ship... Possible direction of the motor company?). We also saw the advent of outsourced floats (Such as the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games float), with a good measure of controversy (Anti-War Protestors, Anti China Protestors, Presidential Candidate Canvassing, etc.), which may indicate overall dissatisfaction with our current state of affairs. Perhaps the strongest indicator for me was the "3 military jets" that flew over the parade route. These jets were certainly spectacular, but they were a far cry from the STEALTH fighter and bomber formations that has flown over the parade route in years past. This may be an indication of the overall state of the economy. What do you think?

More later.

Daily Report

The Machine:

Summary Version 8.2
Date: 2008-01-02 Time: 03:00
CY: WAIT
SAY: WAIT
This information does not constitute
financial advice of any kind.
Have a nice day!

Tuesday, January 1, 2008

Happy New Year!!!

The Man:
Happy New Year to all! It's Jan 1st, 2008, and we are in the 21st Century. You know this because one can get a remote controlled helicopter in your home for $25 - how cool is that? I was hoping to get version 8.3 out today, but given that I'm going to be at an all-day party/parade with my family and smoking a whole chicken, I think you'll see version 8.3 sometime next weekend. :/ Priorities, man. Priorities. Happy New Year! Go Illini!!!

More later.

Daily Report

The Machine:

Summary Version 8.2
Date: 2008-01-01 Time: 03:00
CY: WAIT
SAY: WAIT
This information does not constitute
financial advice of any kind.
Have a nice day!

Monday, December 31, 2007

Daily Report

The Machine:

Summary Version 8.2
Date: 2007-12-31 Time: 03:00
CY: WAIT
SAY: WAIT
This information does not constitute
financial advice of any kind.
Have a nice day!